As political activities gradually build toward the 2027 general elections, the African Democratic Congress (ADC) is confronting a convergence of challenges that threaten its viability as a rallying platform for opposition forces.
FCT Election Warning Signs
Recent area council elections in the Federal Capital Territory exposed structural weaknesses within the ADC. Despite energetic campaigns and media visibility, the party failed to secure victories, raising concerns about its grassroots penetration, organisational depth, and coalition-building capacity. Veteran journalist and former presidential aide Reuben Abati, speaking on Arise Television, described the outcome as a signal for parties to reassess strategies ahead of future polls. Similarly, former NHRC chairman Chidi Odinkalu, on Channels Television, criticised opposition parties as ineffective and disorganised.
Arrests and Political Pressure
Tensions intensified with the arrest and detention of former Kaduna governor Nasir El-Rufai by the Independent Corrupt Practices Commission, Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, and the Department of State Services. While authorities insist investigations are routine, opposition figures view the timing as politically charged. Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar warned the government to guarantee El-Rufai’s safety and access to medical care.
Campaign Finance and Security Concerns
In Enugu State, a proposed ₦150 million campaign advertising fee under Governor Peter Mbah has drawn sharp criticism from the ADC, which argues the policy is unconstitutional and designed to sideline smaller parties. Separately, reports of an alleged assassination attempt on Peter Obi have heightened fears of rising political hostility.
Electoral Law and Opposition Readiness
The newly signed 2026 Electoral Act, allowing both manual and electronic transmission of results, has also unsettled the ADC, which warns of ambiguity and weakened transparency under President Bola Tinubu. Public affairs analyst Nduka Odo of Peaceland University argues Nigeria currently lacks a coordinated opposition, faulting the ADC for limited mobilisation and internal cohesion. He contends that a fragmented opposition, unlike a proactive ruling party approach that would attract global attention from outlets such as CNN and BBC, risks undermining democratic checks ahead of 2027.
